Nobel Laureate, Former Economy Minister and Economic Experts Propose Improving IMF and World Bank Debt Analysis

Experts Present a Series of Papers to IMF Executive Directors Ahead of Annual Meetings

Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz and former Argentina Economy Minister Martin Guzman authored a study to improve how the IMF and World Bank analyze debt problems. The paper is part of “Debt Sustainability Assessments and their Role in the Global Financial Architecture,” a four-part series to appear as chapters in a book this fall. The papers are commissioned by the religious development group Jubilee USA Network and German foundation Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung. The studies were presented to IMF and World Bank executive directors on September 5th, 2024.

The IMF and World Bank conduct debt sustainability analyses that guide prevention and solutions for debt crises. The experts assert that recent debt restructurings like those in Zambia, Sri Lanka and Ghana, faced delays because of differences among private creditors and the IMF and World Bank debt analysis.

“Too often debt sustainability analysis doesn't  provide the full picture to deal with the economic challenges that most countries face,” said Eric LeCompte, Executive Director of Jubilee USA Network. “These technical debt assessments impact all of us. The devil is in the details and current debt analysis underestimates debt crises, leads to failed recoveries or inflicts harm on the people of a country already in crisis."

The series of papers are written by experts familiar with debt sustainability. In addition to the paper from Stigltz and Guzman, other paper authors include Sherillyn Raga, Matthew Martin and Gail Hurley. These authors focused on economic shocks such as pandemics and weather events, the sustainable development and climate goals and accountability to affected populations.

“If debt analysis includes preparing for economic shocks, addressing climate changes and how people are fully impacted, we can better prevent and solve crises,” added LeCompte who serves on United Nations finance expert groups.

The IMF initiated a review of its methodology to assess debt in low-income countries. Pope Francis declared 2025 is a Jubilee year, calling for the forgiveness of unpayable debts and an international process to deal with debt crises.

Read the Debt Sustainability Assessments and their Role in the Global Financial Architecture paper series here.

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A Jubilee Policy Agenda for the Brazilian G20 Summit: Debt, Climate and Tax

Online: October 1, 2024 | 10:00 - 11:00 am ET 

Sr. Eugenia Amporfu 
Catholic Religious, Daughters of the Most Holy Trinity, and Professor, Department of Economics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology

Rev. Charles Chilfuya
Jesuit Priest and Director, JCAM Justice and Ecology Office, The Jesuit Conference of Africa and Madagascar (JCAM)

Dr. Mercy John
 National Secretary, the Women Wing, Christian Council of Nigeria

Eric LeCompte
Executive Director, Jubilee USA Network

Amir Ahmed Manghali
Regional Programs Coordinator for East Africa, Islamic Relief Worldwide

Sponsors: The Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs at Georgetown University, the G20 Interfaith Forum, and Jubilee USA Network

Most countries face economic crises that are increasing poverty, inequality and hunger. Countries do not have the resources to deal with the impacts of climate change.

The webinar, is part of a series on priority appeals for action to the G20 from global religious institutions to address hunger, poverty, inequality and climate change. This November 2024, Brazil hosts the G20 presidential summit. This summit is the last before #Jubilee2025 declared by Pope Francis and interfaith leaders. Religious leaders and communities around the world are organizing to move the G20 to take urgent action. The coming Jubilee year arrives in a world facing unprecedented challenges and threats: a worsening climate, reversals in poverty reduction, rising inequality and intensifying wars and conflicts. 

The webinar, bringing together global leaders from different regions and traditions, will address how the G20 is a key actor in the upcoming Jubilee Year on debt, climate, tax and poverty.

Location: Online via Zoom.

RSVP by clicking here.

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The Practice of Sovereign Debt Sustainability Analysis

Jubilee USA partnered with Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung New York to publish the Practice of Sovereign Debt Sustainability Analysis, by Joseph E. Stiglitz and Martin Guzman.

The paper was the fourth to launch as part of a series that gathered practitioners to write on the theme "Debt Sustainability Assessments and their Role in the Global Financial Architecture." The papers will be chapters in a report to appear later in the summer. 

Practice of Sovereign Debt Sustainability Analysis, by Joseph E. Stiglitz and Martin Guzman

Debt Sustainability Analyses (DSAs) are documents that hold serious implications for both debtors and creditors in sovereign debt negotiations. DSAs are not merely technical assessments of countries’ capacity to take on debt but are also grounded in political assumptions. A new study by Martín Guzmán and Joseph E. Stiglitz looks at the practice of the IMF’s debt sustainability analysis. They discuss how incentives and competing interests of stakeholders shape understandings of the debt sustainability constraints, endogenous effects of macroeconomics and fiscal policies, and beliefs on distribution of shocks. They identify areas for improvements in DSAs opportunity and publication timelines, dealing with the IMF’s role as a creditor, the treatment of foreign vs domestic currency debt, choosing correct discount factors, and the causes of over-optimism in baseline growth scenarios. 

Find the webpage for the "Debt Sustainability Assessments and their Role in the Global Financial Architecture" series here.

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Pressure Mounts to Address Global Debt Crises as G20 Finance Ministers Meet

Rio de Janeiro Gathering Expected to Advance Development Bank, Tax and Climate Measures

G20 finance ministers begin their third meeting under this year’s G20 Brazilian Presidency. Debt, development bank reforms and tax measures to fund programs to address hunger, poverty and climate change will be center on the agenda.

"The meetings takes place as growing debt crises mean that too many countries are failing to spend on the needs of their people," noted Eric LeCompte who leads the religious development group, Jubilee USA Network. "Developing countries need debt relief, aid and ways to raise more revenue."

A UN report found that 45 developing countries spend more on debt service than on health. In Kenya, violent protests erupted after the government attempted to raise taxes to meet debt payments and continue more than a month later. Addressing impacts of climate change is a focus during G20 meetings as the international community finalizes funding targets during climate negotiations over the next year.

"The G20 is largely responsible for setting the targets and raising the money we need to address climate change and poverty," noted LeCompte who serves on United Nations debt expert groups. "We need better global debt, tax and aid policies to end global poverty and heal our planet."

Multilateral development bank funding and international tax agreements to increase taxes on the extremely wealthy are on the G20 agenda.
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Religion News Service Quotes Eric LeCompte on Jubilee 2025

The Religion News Service quotes Eric LeCompte on Jubilee 2025 and the previous Jubilee year, 2000. Read an excerpt below, or the full article here.

African faith leaders call for debt forgiveness in 2025 Jubilee year

By Fredrick Nzwili

The faith leaders point to the preceding Jubilee Year in 2000, when a coalition for debt forgiveness successfully freed $130 billion in debt relief in 38 countries and reduced poverty, they say.

“While we have moved forward critical debt relief and aid, we still need improvements in debt relief and aid processes,” said Eric LeCompte, executive director of the religious development organization Jubilee USA Network and a co-organizer of the convening of African leaders. “If we had the debt policies and institutions religious leaders called for 25 years ago, we would have tools to help address the climate and poverty crises.”

Those policies include improved access to permanent, rules-based processes that bind creditors into debt reductions and lower the costs of international crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic response to limit suffering in developing nations.  



Read more here

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The Star Quotes Eric LeCompte on the Interfaith Africa Leaders Meeting in Kigali, Rwanda

The Star quotes Eric LeCompte on the need for improved debt relief and aid processes. Read an excerpt below, or the full article here

African religious leaders raise concern over increase in public debt

By Wycliff Kipsang

Faith leaders in Africa have become increasingly vocal as the continent faces the effects of multiple crises.

“We have allowed a divorce between traditional economic approaches and spiritual values,” Sheikh Ibrahim Lethome, of the Supreme Council of Kenya Muslims, said. 

“As faith leaders, we have a role in guiding our communities so they can make those connections," he added.

The faith leaders called for responsible lending and borrowing principles, debt contract clauses that share climate and other risks and additional sources of finance that do not create debt in order to prevent new high indebtedness cycles.

“While we have moved forward critical debt relief and aid, we still need improvements in debt relief and aid processes,” Eric LeCompte, executive director of the religious development organisation Jubilee USA Network and a co-organiser of the convening of African leaders, said. 

Jena is a diverse community of faith-inspired Jesuit NGOs working towards an Africa where people can unlock their full potential, free from direct, cultural and structural violence.

 

Read more here.

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Africa Religious Leaders: Debt Forgiveness Key to Region’s Economic Renewal

Interfaith Africa Leaders Call for Changes to Global Economy during Jubilee 2025

Ahead of the Jubilee 2025 year that faith communities are celebrating worldwide, African interfaith leaders called for debt forgiveness and processes to support economic development. Representing Catholic, Anglican, Lutheran and other Christian denominations, Muslims, national councils of churches, interreligious councils across 13 countries in Africa and regional religious organizations, the dignitaries released a statement to the G20, G7, United Nations, IMF and World Bank decisionmakers.

“Our countries … face again agonizing choices between spending and investing on their people and paying their creditors,” said the Africa religious leaders in their statement.“This year alone, Africa will spend $90 billion servicing public debt. Yet, the average African country’s combined spending on health, education and social protection is two-thirds of their debt payments.”

The religious leaders recalled the work of faith communities 25 years ago during the Jubilee 2000 year which led to the largest ever collective debt relief initiative. The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries/Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (HIPC/MDRI) mobilized more than $130 billion in debt relief in 38 countries.

“Former President Julius Nyerere, of Tanzania, was among the first African political leaders raising their voices to question the need to put debt above the lives of our children,” said Rev. Canon Makunzo Moses Matonya, Secretary General of the Christian Council of Churches in Tanzania. “Unfortunately, we have seen debt rise to levels where we have to face that question again.”

Since 2010, African countries’ interest payments more than doubled, as a percentage of their revenue. At the same time, their combined spending on health, education, social protection and climate amount to two-thirds of debt payments.

“Early in the millennium, debt relief freed the fiscal space for important poverty reduction investments,” said Bishop Matthew Hassan Kukah, of the Catholic Diocese of Sokoto, in Nigeria. “An important focus for us, as then, is that we have good governance safeguards to protect public participation and accountability in the use of those funds.”

Faith leaders in Africa have become increasingly vocal as the continent faces the effects of multiple crises.

“We have allowed a divorce between traditional economic approaches and spiritual values,” said Sheikh Ibrahim Lethome, of the Supreme Council of Kenya Muslims. “As faith leaders, we have a role in guiding our communities so they can make those connections.”

The faith leader statement called for responsible lending and borrowing principles, debt contract clauses that share climate and other risks, and additional sources of finance that do not create debt in order to prevent new high indebtedness cycles.

“While we have moved forward critical debt relief and aid, we still need need improvements in debt relief and aid processes,” said Eric LeCompte, Executive Director of the religious development organization Jubilee USA Network, and a co-organizer of the convening of African leaders. “If we had the debt policies and institutions religious leaders called for 25 years ago, we would have tools to help address the climate and poverty crises.”

Read the Africa Religious Leaders' "Heralding a Debt Jubilee in 2025" statement here.

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Interfaith Africa Religious Leaders "Heralding a Debt Jubilee in 2025" Statement

African interfaith leaders meeting convening in Kigali, Rwanda issued a statement calling for forgiving debts, implementing responsible lending and borrowing principles, mainstreaming risk sharing between creditors and debtors in debt contracts and scaling up access to resources for development in non-debt-creating and affordable terms.

Read the statement here.

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G7 Leaders Pressed to Find Debt Crisis Solutions Amid Worrying Growth Forecasts

Ahead of Jubilee 2025 Year, Pope Francis is First Pope in History to Join G7 Summit

 G7 leaders grapple with debt, climate and development crises in Italy from June 13th - 15th. In addition to the presidents and prime ministers hosted in the southern Italian region of Puglia, others in attendance include Pope Francis, the leaders of Brazil, Argentina, India, other developing countries and heads of the IMF, World Bank and United Nations.

The World Bank forecasts low growth rates, which will not be enough for developing countries to achieve key development goals.

“Over three billion people live in countries that spend more on debt payments than they spend on health and education,” said Eric LeCompte, Executive Director of the religious development organization Jubilee USA Network. “The pandemic, wars, climate challenges and high interest rates force many countries into hard choices between paying debts and investing in their people.”

In advance of the Jubilee year of 2025, for the first time in history a Pope, Pope Francis, joins the G7 meeting. Last week the Pontiff echoed words of Pope Saint John Paul II in 2000 saying that the Jubilee year is an appropriate occasion to cancel international debt and create new processes to solve debt and development crises.

“The G7 is under a lot of pressure to address growing debt challenges in Africa and among developing countries,” noted LeCompte who was with Pope Francis during his remarks on debt at the Vatican last week. “If we can't resolve debt problems and support countries to raise more revenue, poor global growth forecasts will continue.”

The G7 will consider ways to increase lending and aid through development banks. In May, G7 finance ministers noted that agreements made so far will yield more than $25 billion a year in additional finance for climate and other challenges. The largest provider of aid to the poorest countries, the International Development Association, needs substantial resources this year to maintain aid and loans with low interest rates.

“Together with G7 leaders, we won more than $130 billion in debt relief since Jubilee 2000,” shared LeCompte. “While we achieved significant debt relief and won anti-corruption policies, we failed to institute the policies we needed to prevent and resolve future debt crises. In Jubilee 2025, we must win real solutions to prevent debt crises and solve development challenges.” 

Read Pope Francis' June 5th Address on Debt Crises, Development and Jubilee 2025 here.

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How to Ensure Debt Sustainability Accelerates Sustainable Development

Jubilee USA partnered with Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung New York to publish How to Ensure Debt Sustainability Accelerates Sustainable Development, by Matthew Martin.

The paper was the third to launch as part of a series that gathered practitioners to write on the theme "Debt Sustainability Assessments and their Role in the Global Financial Architecture." The papers will be chapters in a report to appear later in the summer. 

How to Ensure Debt Sustainability Accelerates Sustainable Development, by Matthew Martin

A new study by Matthew Martin makes the case for why and how to adapt DSAs to National Sustainable Development Plans and National Defined Contributions and Adaptation Plans to confront the climate crisis.

The paper addresses three key challenges: adapting DSAs 1) to overall SDG spending needs, 2) to meet urgent environmental crises, including climate change, nature and biodiversity collapse, and the rising incidence of natural disasters, and 3) to meet social crises produced by rising inequality and poverty, as well as pandemics. Mindful of the need for feasible and immediately actionable recommendations, the study has been based on close consultation with civil society experts and representatives of governments and international organizations

Find the webpage for the "Debt Sustainability Assessments and their Role in the Global Financial Architecture" series here.

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New York Senate Legislation Passes to Curb "Vulture" Fund Behavior

New York State Council of Churches, Jubilee USA Network, Oxfam and Partners In Health Issue Statement for Assembly to Pass and Governor to Sign "Champerty" Legislation and Urge Legislature to Pass Stronger Actions

A Senate bill (S5623) aimed at curbing predatory hedge fund behavior passed the New York Senate and is awaiting a vote in the Assembly (A5290) in order to head to Governor Kathy Hochul's desk to be signed into law.

"This legislation should become New York law as it addresses some of the ways that several hedge funds take advantage of developing countries," stated Eric LeCompte the Executive Director of Jubilee USA Network, an organization that works on debt and development policies. "This legislation is a step in the right direction. The legislature will need to take more comprehensive action to deal with all of the negative ways that New York's debt laws harm developing countries."

Advocates argue that more action is needed to improve New York laws that govern more than 50% of the world's private sector loans for countries.

The New York State Council of Churches, Jubilee USA Network, Oxfam and Partners In Health issue the following statement:

Thanks to Senator Krueger and Assemblymember Gonzalez-Rojas, their “champerty” bill (S5623/A5290) represents progress in limiting some of the worst, predatory behavior of the "vulture" hedge funds. As the bill (S5623) passed the Senate, the Assembly should pass the companion bill (A5290) and Governor Hochul should sign this legislation into law immediately.

Most effectively and importantly, the legislation reduces New York’s punitive prejudgment interest rate to a better level and places obstacles in the way of the most predatory speculators suing debtor countries in New York courts.

While this legislation is progress and may help curtail some predatory behavior, it does not deal with the greater concern for New Yorkers and developing countries of dealing with bad faith actors and hold-out behavior.

We support this champerty bill (S5623/A5290) and emphasize the importance of additional legislative action to address the larger issues where New York law harms developing economies.  A critical portion of champerty that would have addressed the larger problem of hold-out behavior and bad faith actors was removed under pressure from creditors.

Billions of people will suffer because creditors removed the good faith provision. The removed language would have ensured that all private creditors would be required to cooperate in qualified restructurings in good faith. Without this language, we lack protections for New York courts, New York taxpayers, poor countries, and official creditors like the United States government.

Legislators in New York have compelling public interest to pass additional legislation that can rectify the power imbalance in sovereign debt restructurings and can help solve these larger problems. While we celebrate progress and this victory with the Senate passage, New York legislators must continue their work to enact further comprehensive reforms such as those included in the Sovereign Debt Stability Act (S5542A/A2970) to ensure that all private creditors governed under New York laws operate responsibly.

 
New York State Council of Churches
Jubilee USA Network
Oxfam
Partners In Health
 
Read the Statement on the New York Senate Passage of the "Champerty" Bill (S5623/A5290) here.

Find the "Champerty" bill here.

View Jubilee USA's Sovereign Debt Stability Act (S5542A/A2970) webpage here.

Find the Sovereign Debt Stability Act bill here.
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NYS Council of Churches, Jubilee USA, Oxfam and Partners In Health Statement on the New York Senate Passage of the "Champerty" Bill

Read the statement as a PDF here

Thanks to Senator Krueger and Assemblymember Gonzalez-Rojas, their “champerty” bill (S5623/A5290) represents progress in limiting some of the worst, predatory behavior of the "vulture" hedge funds. As the bill (S5623) passed the Senate, the Assembly should pass the companion bill (A5290) and Governor Hochul should sign this legislation into law immediately.

Most effectively and importantly, the legislation reduces New York’s punitive prejudgment interest rate to a better level and places obstacles in the way of the most predatory speculators suing debtor countries in New York courts.

While this legislation is progress and may help curtail some predatory behavior, it does not deal with the greater concern for New Yorkers and developing countries of dealing with bad faith actors and hold-out behavior.

We support this champerty bill (S5623/A5290) and emphasize the importance of additional legislative action to address the larger issues where New York law harms developing economies.  A critical portion of champerty that would have addressed the larger problem of hold-out behavior and bad faith actors was removed under pressure from creditors.

Billions of people will suffer because creditors removed the good faith provision. The removed language would have ensured that all private creditors would be required to cooperate in qualified restructurings in good faith. Without this language, we lack protections for New York courts, New York taxpayers, poor countries, and official creditors like the United States government.

Legislators in New York have compelling public interest to pass additional legislation that can rectify the power imbalance in sovereign debt restructurings and can help solve these larger problems. While we celebrate progress and this victory with the Senate passage, New York legislators must continue their work to enact further comprehensive reforms such as those included in the Sovereign Debt Stability Act (S5542A/A2970) to ensure that all private creditors governed under New York laws operate responsibly.

New York State Council of Churches

Jubilee USA Network

Oxfam

Partners In Health

Read the statement as a PDF here

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